The “Bayern Bonus”

After the spectacular dive by Arturo Vidal in yesterday’s DFB Pokal semifinal, which arguably secured the victory for Bayern Munich over Werder Bremen, this research is more topical than ever. Scientists from the Frankfurt School of Finance and the University of Marburg have analyzed 4248 Budesliga games between 2000 and 2014. In particular, their data contain information on all referee decisions and a classification whether the decisions were correct, disputable or clearly wrong. And guess what, focussing only on the 666 clear penalties that were not given by the refs, there is a stark tendency to rule in favor of top teams. Continue reading The “Bayern Bonus”